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Analyzing the Anthrax Attacks
(2009-2012 Edition)

Commentary
& Analysis
by
Ed Lake

IF YOU HAVE ANY ADDITIONAL INFORMATION OR SEE ANY ERRORS ON THIS SITE, PLEASE CONTACT ME AT:
detect@newsguy.com

The discussion blog for this web site is at
anthraxdebate.blogspot.com


Available from BarnesAndNoble.com
Click here.

Also available from Amazon.com

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Also available on Kindle.
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My original analysis and working hypothesis,
and everything from prior to January 1, 2005, 

can still be accessed by clicking HERE.
All the information gathered and analyzed from
January 1, 2005, through December 31, 2008,
can still be accessed by clicking HERE.

 
CONTENTS

(click on the Section to go to it)

Overview
Thoughts and Comments
  Latest references (top)
Latest references (end)

KEY SUPPLEMENTAL PAGES
(click on the name to link to the page)
Where & When Bruce Ivins Made the Anthrax Powders ... Allegedly
How Bruce Ivins Made the Anthrax Powders ... Allegedly
FOIA Pictures of Bruce Ivins' Laboratory
FOIA Pictures of Bruce Ivins' Office
The Bruce Ivins Timeline
The Errors That Snared Dr. Bruce Ivins
Bruce Ivins' Consciousness of Guilt
The Coded Message in the Media Letters (the "smoking gun")
Dr. Ivins' "Non-Denial Denials"
Evidence vs. Beliefs
The Mysteries of the AFIP "Report"
The Facts Say: A Child Wrote The Anthrax Letters

The Attack Anthrax Pictures
The annotated version of the Aug. 18, 2008, roundtable discussion
Van Der Waals Forces & Static Electricity: How they affect bacillus spores
The Steven Hatfill Timeline/The Attempted Lynching of Steven Hatfill
The Campaign to Point the Finger at Dr. Hatfill
Dr. Hatfill & The "Clueless" Media
The Media & Iowa State University
Anthrax, Assaad, Terror and the Timeline
Other Theories About the Anthrax Case
Reviews of my book
My comments about other anthrax-related books

Overview

This web site was started on November 22, 2001 to keep track of facts related to the anthrax attacks which had become a major news event during the previous month.  I found that most people only wanted to discuss beliefs, opinions and conspiracy theories.  I wanted to see what the facts said.  Plus, news stories were appearing and then being deleted, and I needed a place to retain the articles which contained new information.  So, for the next seven years I accumulated facts and references and analyzed all the data I could find.  In March of 2005, I even self-published a book describing what the first three years of my analysis had found. 

On August 1, 2008, the news broke that the person the FBI believed to be the anthrax mailer had committed suicide.  His name was Dr. Bruce Ivins, and he worked at the USAMRIID labs at Ft. Detrick, MD.

The conspiracy theorists and True Believers who had argued their beliefs and opinions for the prior seven years were not persuaded by the FBI's evidence.  They continue to argue their beliefs and opinions, claiming that the FBI cannot prove Dr. Ivins was guilty.  After all, if the FBI was right, that would mean they have been wrong for seven years.  And that couldn't be, even though they don't even agree with each other about key facts:

Some still believe al Qaeda was behind the attacks.
Some still believe Saddam Hussein was behind the attacks
Some still believe a vast Jewish conspiracy was behind the attacks.
Some still believe the Bush administration was behind the attacks.
Some still believe the CIA was behind the attacks.
Some still believe pharmaceutical companies were behind the attacks.
Some still believe a writer was behind the attacks in order to sell books.
Some still believe Dr. Steven Hatfill was behind the attacks.
Some still believe a different scientist was behind the attacks.
Some still believe that a military person was behind the attacks.
Some still believe their next door neighbor was behind the attacks.

Some still believe the attack spores were "weaponized" with silica or silicon and that anyone who says otherwise is either lying or incompetent.  They still believe there must be some vast criminal conspiracy to cover up the real facts, because they simply do not believe anything the government - and particularly the FBI - says.

Some still believe that Dr. Ivins did not have the ability to make the attack anthrax. 

And, perhaps most bizarre of all, some still believe that there is some similarity between the "investigation" of Dr. Steven Hatfill (who was eventually exonerated) and the investigation of Dr. Bruce Ivins.  The facts show that the two cases could not be more different.  Dr. Hatfill was the victim of an attempted lynching by conspiracy theorists, people in the media and some politicians.  They worked together for six months to get Dr. Hatfill arrested for a crime he didn't do.  The FBI's Hatfill "investigation" was purely political and based upon "tips" from those same conspiracy theorist scientists who claimed the FBI was "covering up" for Dr. Hatfill when the FBI's investigation found nothing to tie him to the mailings.  The Ivins investigation, on the other hand, was the result of years of detailed scientific analysis and an equally detailed criminal investigation.

The Case Against Dr. Ivins

The facts say that Dr. Ivins was the anthrax mailer:

1.  He was in charge of the RMR-1029 flask containing the "mother" spores which produced the attack anthrax "daughter" spores.  He was in charge of "the murder weapon."

1.1  He tried to destroy "smoking gun" evidence that he had encoded a hidden message inside the media letters, but the evidence was recovered and clearly points to Dr. Ivins as the anthrax mailer.

1.2  He was a diagnosed sociopath.  In 2000, a year before the anthrax mailings, Ivins had talked with his mental heath counselor about his plan to poison a "young woman."  The counselor called the police, but because Ivins hadn't provided a name, there wasn't anything they could do.  The facts indicate the woman was Ivins' former assistant, Mara Linscott.  Ivins evidently changed his mind about poisoning her.

2.  The FBI investigated everyone else who had access to the RMR-1029 flask and eliminated all of them as suspects.  Eliminating potential suspects is routine police procedure.

3.  He had worked with Bacillus anthracis for over 20 years and had all the necessary expertise and equipment to prepare the spores in the anthrax letters.  He could routinely make a trillion spores a week.

4.  He accessed the locked suite (B3) where the RMR-1029 flask of spores was stored at the times the attack anthrax would have been prepared.

5.  He worked alone and unsupervised in his lab for long hours at night and on weekends during the time the attack anthrax would have been prepared.

6.  He had no scientific reason or verifiable explanation for working those hours or at those times.

7.  In December of 2001, Dr. Ivins secretly swabbed and bleached more than 20 areas in his lab, destroying possible evidence.   In April of 2002, he did it again.  Both cleanings were unauthorized and against protocol.  His explanations for doing it were contradictory to his actions.

8.  Investigators examined another flask of Ames anthrax spores created by Dr. Ivins for his own use in his work and found that a percentage of the spores in flask RMR-1030 contained silicon just like what was in the attack spores.

9.  It was not commonplace for him to work long evening hours in the Bacteriology Division's Suite B3 before the anthrax attacks or in the months after the anthrax attacks.  His long hours in Suite B3 at that time broke his normal work pattern.  Suite B3 was a BioSafety Level-3 area.


10.  He had multiple motives for sending the anthrax letters.

11.  He tried various ways to mislead investigators when they started to suspect him.

12.  He had no verifiable alibi for the times when he could have driven to New Jersey to mail the letters.

13.  He was known to drive long distances and to use various methods to mail letters and packages so they could not be traced back to him.

14.  He had various connections to the New Jersey area where the anthrax letters were mailed.  The ZIP Code used in the return address on the senate letters was 08852.  It belongs to Monmouth Junction, NJ.  According to a letter in Ivins' files, his ancestors on his father's side came from an area then known as Monmouth, NJ.  Plus, Monmouth College in Monmouth, IL, is where the Kappa Kappa Gamma sorority (an obsession of Ivins') was founded.

15.  He had serious mental problems, which appear to include murderous impulses.   He'd been seeing psychiatrists since 1978.

16.  The pre-stamped envelopes which were used in the attacks had print defects, and one of the post offices which sold those envelopes was a post office which Dr. Ivins used.

17.  His wife ran a day care center at the time of the attacks, Ivins had many contacts with children, and the facts indicate that a child of about 6 was used to do the actual writing on the anthrax letters.

18.  Investigations found no evidence that someone other than Dr. Ivins sent the letters.

19.  There is no evidence that Dr. Ivins could not possibly have sent the anthrax letters.

20.  People commit suicide to escape justice.  People who are unfairly accused sue their tormenters.

Although the case was officially closed on February 19, 2010, there may still be some additional facts pointing to Dr. Ivins' guilt which have not yet been disclosed by the FBI, specifically information related to his sessions with his psychiatrist or psychologist.  That information is still "under seal" by court order.

Meanwhile, those who cannot accept the FBI's findings continue to use every tactic they can to cast doubt upon the FBI's findings.  They have no proof of Dr. Ivins' innocence, so all they can do is try to make it appear that if there is any doubt - reasonable or not - about Dr. Ivins' guilt, then he must be innocent.

Conspiracy Theorists and True Believers 

Because they often support each other in opposing the FBI's official findings, it is sometimes difficult to tell a Conspiracy Theorist from a True Believer.  But, there is really are very distinct differences:

Conspiracy theorists often do not know or care who sent the anthrax letters, they only know that "the government" cannot be trusted, "the government" is lying about something, and they want to expose it.

True Believers feel they know beyond any doubt who sent the anthrax letters, and anyone who does not believe as they believe - including the FBI - is just not looking at the right facts.

Both will do anything and everything they can to get the undecided and uncertain to join with their cause.  And there are differences in their tactics as the go about their recruiting: 

The #1 tactic used by conspiracy theorists is junk science.  They wildly misinterpret facts about the case, they claim their bizarre misinterpretations prove something, and they demand that those misinterpretations and baseless claims be either accepted or disproven.
 
The #1 tactic used by True Believers is to accuse the non-believer of being "closed minded" and to wear down the non-believer as he tries to prove he is not "closed minded."

There's really no point to arguing with a True Believer.  Back in 1951, Eric Hoffer published his landmark book "The True Believer" in which he stated that the only way to change a True Believer's mind is to convert him to a different belief.  So, unless you are prepared to do that, it's best to just avoid them.  They will bury you in irrelevant facts if you don't avoid them, they'll claim that if you do not read everything they read and interpret everything the way they interpret them, then you are ill-informed and your opinion is worthless.

Conspiracy theorists, however, appear ready to debate some of the relevant facts of the case.  They just move on to different facts if they are proven wrong about their first set of facts.  Example:

The initial theory about the anthrax being "weaponized" was that the attack spores were coated with bentonite and the government was covering up that fact.  That theory was quickly shown to be false.  When the next theory that the attack spores were coated with fumed silica was also disproved, they moved on to a new theory that the attack spores had tiny particles of silica glued to them to defeat van der Waals forces.  When that was shown to be nonsense, they moved on to a theory that the spores were treated with a waterproofing substance that would coat the spore coat without leaving any trace on the exosporium. 

The conspiracy theorists and True Believers seem to have a few followers in Congress.  Perhaps there will also be some Congressional hearings.  I hope so.  Congressional hearings seem to be the only way to clarify certain details about others who were caught up in the investigation. 

Thoughts and Comments
by Ed Lake

Updates & Changes: Sunday, May 13, 2012, thru Saturday, May 19, 2012

May 16, 2012 - On Sunday, I wrote this about the picture of Bruce Ivins in his lab: "
I recall reading somewhere how, when Nancy Haigwood received a copy of the picture, she thought it was crazy for Ivins to be handling Petri dishes with his bare hands."   Here's that picture again:

Bruce Ivins in his lab  

I did some research and found a CNN article with Nancy Haigwood's comments.  The article says:

On November 14, 2001, Ivins e-mailed photos of himself to Nancy Haigwood, as well as former colleagues and family members, that showed him working with what he called "the now infamous" strain of anthrax used in the attacks.

The e-mail was striking, says Haigwood, because "we publish our work. We talk about it at conferences. [But] we don't e-mail photos with anthrax."
....

One picture stood out: a photo of Ivins without gloves supposedly handling a sample of anthrax. Haigwood interpreted this lack of the most rudimentary protection as a bragging message from Ivins, "a sign [that] 'I'm immune.'"

"It was more an 'Oh, no!' than an 'Aha!' moment," she says.

That's what triggered her call to the FBI in February 2002.

I had been thinking that the photo was taken before the anthrax attacks.  The fact that it was emailed after the attacks probably also means it was taken after the attacks.   And, Nancy Haigwood's comment that sending around the photo seems to indicate that Ivins was thinking "I'm immune" fits very nicely with the time frame.  Ivins had been asked to examine the Daschle and New York Post powders, so he was probably feeling that he'd gotten away with four murders.  November 14 also happens to be the day that Ottilie Lundgren first showed symptoms of inhalation anthrax.  In a week, she'd be dead.

So, if I add the photo to my book, the right place to add it would be after Ivins does the New York Post powder analysis and before Lundgren's death.  The emails by Ivins haven't shown up on the FBI vault web site yet.  I'd like to read the Nov. 14, 2001 email, too.  Maybe it says something I can use.

The Judge Advocate General says the picture is in the public domain.  Hopefully so.  But, I still need a good copy that doesn't have the Copyrighted by AP logo on it.   I'll send an FOIA request to the FBI today.

May 14, 2012 - I've located the post by Prof. Martin Hugh-Jones to ProMedMail.org that I mentioned in yesterday's comment.  The post is near the the bottom of the page that can be viewed by clicking HERE.   Prof. Hugh-Jones wrote,

[The key sentence is the last: "The absence of meglumine and diatrizoate on the evidentiary material ... was supportive to the investigation in indicating that the evidentiary spore material [in the letters] was not diverted directly from RMR-1029." So Bruce Ivins could not have brewed up these spores working after hours as proposed by the FBI. It had to have been done elsewhere in an institute that did not employ "RenoCal-76(R) or similar products to purify spores."

It is hard to understand why it has taken so long for this information to be published, more than 10 years since the events of October 2001. One can think of various scenarios but Swider and her colleagues, and their superiors, are to be congratulated on their institutional courage as there must have been pressures to not do so. - Mod.MHJ]

Interestingly, there's a similar post by a Dr. Dennis Grant HERE.  And there's another post by Martin Hugh-Jones at the end of Dr. Grant's post:
[Dennis raises the question whether the renografin (meglumine or 
diatrizoate) could have been washed off during washing the spores.
A fair question and if there any members with sound expert
knowledge on this subject, we would be glad to hear from them.

If the renografin chemicals cannot be removed by washing this
would put the letter spores' origin immediately away from the
RMR-1029 flask, even if cultured from a common source or from
material shared taken from the flask. I would remind members
that the letter contents had a _B. subtilis_ contaminant, which
was not found in the contents of the RMR-1029 flask. While the
FBI dismissed the importance of this contaminant Bacillus it has
the potential of being an institutional fingerprint. - Mod MHJ]
The arguments, of course, are totally absurd.  It's just mistaken beliefs from "experts" who haven't bothered to look at the facts.  There was no need to use renografin to purify the spores.  And there was no B subtilis contaminant in the senate letters.  Therefore, all that was needed to produce the contaminant in the media powders was to have one plate contain the contaminant.   That doesn't constitute an "institutional fingerprint."

Here are a couple additional facts that occurred to me this morning:

FACT #1: When the New York Post letter was found, it was immediately determined that the powder inside consisted of about 90% matrix material and agar, with only about 10% spores.  (Matrix material is the afterbirth of sporulation.  It's the carcasses of the mother germs naturally dissolved into slime.)   The contents of flask RMR-1029 consisted of pure spores in distilled water with a few drops of an anti-fugus agent.   So, if the attack spores had been taken directly from flask RMR-1029, where did the matrix material and agar come from?  (The NAS might argue that it is scientifically possible to add matrix material and agar to pure spores, but it certainly makes absolutely no sense to do so.)  And this means the FBI knew in October 2001 that the spores didn't come directly from flask RMR-1029, even though they hadn't even heard of flask RMR-1029 at the time.

FACT #2: Early in the case, in October 2001, the media created a belief that the Ames strain came from a lab at the Iowa State University in Ames Iowa.  And, the media found "experts" who believed the Ames strain may have originated back in the 1950's during the development of bioweapons, and the spores could have been stolen from weaponized stocks stored at that time.  Scientists working for the FBI, however, quickly determined via tests similar to carbon dating that the attack spores were no more than two years old.  So, they could not have originated back in the 1950's.  And, although flask RMR-1029 wasn't even a subject of discussion at the time, the tests also proved the spores couldn't have come directly from flask RMR-1029, since the spores in that flask were created in 1997, four years before the mailings.

So, the FBI had proof that the attack spores did not come directly from flask RMR-1029 long before that flask was even a subject of discussion.  The current argument seems to be made up by conspiracy theorists who believe that Ivins didn't have the time to make the spores found in the letters, so the FBI must believe the spores came directly from flask RMR-1029.  And, of course, the reason conspiracy theorists have that mistaken belief is their other nonsensical beliefs about when Ivins would have started making the spores and how he could only have made and dried the spores using standard lab practices.     

May 13, 2012 -
Last week was a fairly busy week for me, even though I didn't make as much progress on my new book as I'd hoped.  I've just finished Chapter 32 in the "Notes & Resources" section.  That means I only managed to compile the references for 7 chapters last week, and I still have 16 chapters left to go.

On my interactive blog, I managed to get "Anonymous" to attempt to argue facts instead of just declaring his mistaken beliefs.  He tried arguing about how computers worked, using his beliefs against my 20+ years of actual experience developing computer systems.  Then he tried to support Bruce Ivins' lawyer Paul Kemp's mistaken beliefs about Ivins' first submission to the FBIR.  His beliefs were quickly trounced by my solid facts.  As a result, I appear to have backed "Anonymous" into a corner, which means he's gone quiet and hasn't posted anything since Wednesday.

Also on Wednesday, I decided that I'd waited long enough for responses to the two query letters I sent to two large literary agencies on April 11 and 17.  I decided to assume that no reply in a month means they aren't interested.  So, I sent out a dozen new query emails to smaller agencies.  On Thursday I received a "too busy to take on new clients" response from one agency, and on Friday I received a  "Thanks but this is not for me" from another agency.   No other responses so far.

On Friday, I received a phone call from the FBI about an FOIA request I'd sent them a week ago.   Among other things, I'd asked for a large photo of the Leahy anthrax letter. 
I didn't recall ever seeing a copy of the Leahy letter except for pictures of it being unfolded.  I wanted to see it laying flat next to a ruler so I could try to see if it was trimmed differently than the Daschle letter.  Early in the investigation I noticed that the Brokaw letter (#1 below), the NY Post letter (#2) and the Daschle letter #3) were each trimmed differently to make them fit more easily into the small size post office envelope, and I wondered if the culprit may have saved the trimmings to use as proof that he sent the letters.  I thought the culprit may have believed the letters could make him a hero if it turned out he had warned America just in time to put everyone on alert immediately before a real anthax attack from real Muslim terrorists was launched.

comparing how letters were trimmed

During the phone call from the FBI, I was advised that there's a fairly large copy of the Leahy letter in pdf format on the Department of Justice's web site HERE.  After converting it to .jpg format and slightly reducing it in size, it looks like this:

Leahy letter

Looking through my files, I found that I'd downloaded everything from the DOJ site on February 19, 2010, at the same time I downloaded and saved all the FBI case files.  So, I already had the Leahy letter in .pdf format.  I'd just forgotten about it because it wasn't like the .TIF versions of the letters and envelopes I'd recieved in 2002 or so.

The photos of the Leahy and Daschle letters appear to have been taken from slightly different angles.   I drew a red line along the edge of the Leahy letter and a black line along the edge of the Daschle letter and then digitally overlaid them, attempting to get the text to line up perfectly.  I wasn't able to the a perfect lineup, but I can see enough to be relatively certain that the two letters were trimmed approximately the same way.

Daschle and Leahy letter size comparison

So, it appears that Bruce Ivins wasn't thinking as much about becoming a hero and saving America from a catastrophic bioweapons attack when the sent the senate letters in October as he was when he sent the media letters in September.  That's evidently also why there isn't any "hidden message" in the senate letter.  And that's what I'd been figuring.

The DOJ's full Amerithrax web site is HERE and contains a couple other pdf images of interest.   In my January 20, 2012 (A) comment, I  posted  a black and white copy of a photo of an anthrax culture with notes by Ivins.  The DOJ site has a color version of the same photo.  But, I'm not enough of an expert to analyze the picture to see what Ivins thought he was seeing in the culture.  All the colonies look the same to me.

There's also a photo of page 404 of Gödel, Escher Bach on the DOJ site.  Unfortunately, it doesn't have any notations or marks by Ivins on the page proving that he read the page.  I'd been thinking of sending out an FOIA request for any markings on any pages on or after 404.  But it no longer seems like a worthwhile effort.  The page is also identical to page 404 in the copy of GEB that I have in my library (and there are no marks on it or on pages after it, even though I read the page).

I also asked the FBI FOIA person about the Ivins emails that are supposed to show up on vault.fbi.gov sometime soon.  There doesn't appear to be anything on the home page of that site that says where to find Amerithrax documents.  "Amerithrax" and "anthrax" aren't in the A-Z directory, and neither is "Ivins, Bruce".  But doing a search for "anthrax" will take you to a page for Amerithrax at vault.fbi.gov/Amerithrax where they have their own copies of the FBI case files.  It's easy to find, if you know where to look.  So, that may be where the Ivins emails will show up - if and when they show up.

While looking at the pdf images on the DOJ site, I noticed something else.  Here's a comparison of the photo I have of the New York Post letter on my site versus the photo of the same letter on the DOJ's site:

Comparison of photos of NY Post letter

They're different photos, but probably taken around the same time.  Note that in the photo from my site on the left, the bottom left corner of the letter is below the gray rectangle on the ruler, but on the DOJ photo on the right, that same corner is higher.  So, they are not the same photo with one distorted and color adjusted.  Why do the images appear to be so different?  I don't think it's evidence of any kind of evil criminal conspiracy.  It may be partly the result of converting it into a pdf file to fit some standard slide or page size.  Check out the distorted shape of the Leahy envelope on the DOJ's site HERE.  Whatever the reason for the distortions, the versions from my site are closest to reality.

The DOJ probably has the pictures in .pdf format so no one can "hot link" them, i.e., show them on someone else's site by a special kind of link to the image on the DOJ site.  For example, the picture below is shown via a "hot link":

Bruce Ivins in his lab  

The photograph is an illustration from a February 16, 2011 article on the web site of the UK newspaper The Daily Mail.  As you can see, it says on the picture in the lower left corner that it's copyrighted by the Associated Press.  But, is it?  How did an AP photographer get into Bruce Ivins' secure BSL-3 lab to take the picture?  If it wasn't taken by an AP photographer, how did AP get the copyrights? 

In David Willman's book "The Mirage Man," there's a black and white version of the same picture, and Willman says that it was provided by USAMRIID.  But, was it?   If it was provided by USAMRIID, then AP doesn't own the copyrights.  I sent a FOIA request to USAMRIID, and they don't have a copy of the picture in their files.  They don't seem to know where it came from. 

My recollection is that it was taken by Ivins himself (or by an associate), and Ivins sent it around via emails to people to show them how he worked in his lab.  I recall reading somewhere how, when Nancy Haigwood received a copy of the picture, she thought it was crazy for Ivins to be handling Petri dishes with his bare hands.

So, if I want to use the photograph in my book, I need to try to track down the source to see if it is actually owned by AP or someone else, or if it is in the public domain.

I'll try to track down the comment Nancy Haigwood made about it.  Or I could just wait for Ivins' emails to appear on vault.fbi.gov to see if his emails explain how the picture was taken and who took it.  Or I could try asking the FBI.  I don't currently use the photo in my new book, but I'd definitely like to add it.  What I'm rambling on about is how difficult and time consuming it can be to track down the source of something.

Some of my time last week was also spent responding to emails from a science writer who was comparing my statements about the source of the attack anthrax to comments made by Martin Hugh-Jones in response to an article titled "Trace Detection of Meglumine and Diatrizoate from Bacillus Spore Samples Using Liquid Chromatograpy/Mass Spectrometry."  The same subject was commented upon on Lew Weinstein's web site last week.  Conspiracy theorists and True Believers are using the article to once again argue that Bruce Ivins couldn't have made the attack powders. 

The email from the science writer included copies of other emails he'd been sent from other scientists as they pondered how Ivins could have made the powders.   And there was an email that Martin Hugh-Jones supposedly sent to ProMedMail.org which implied that the fact that the attack spores didn't come directly from flask RMR-1029 was almost proof of Ivins' innocence, since Ivins couldn't have made the spores himself in the time he had.  I explained to the science writer (and to Martin Hugh-Jones) how easy it was for Ivins to do it

It's a very complex subject.  I can understand how scientists just getting into the subject with little prior knowledge of the Amerithrax case can be easily confused.  

What the world really needs is a book that steps through the entire case, almost day by day, point by point, discovery by discovery until it's made totally clear that Ivins was the anthrax mailer and the FBI did a terrific job in tracking him down.   Hmm.   I think I know where people will be able to find the book ... as soon as I finish writing it and get it published. smiley face


Updates & Changes: Sunday, May 6, 2012, thru Saturday, May 12, 2012

May 9, 2010 - One problem with arguing about the same subject for over ten years is that it gets increasingly difficult to remember everything you've already argued about.  At 4:05 a.m this morning, on my interactive blog, "Anonymous" wrote that he had just uploaded Ivins' attorney Paul Kemp's November 29, 2010 presentation to the conspiracy theorist seminar that took place on that date.  It's been a complaint of mine that he only uploaded parts of that seminar that served his cause, while not uploading key parts that would provide a more accurate and comprehensive view (like his presentation, Dr. Nass's presentation, and John Ezzell's comment that Ivins could have made the attack anthrax).  Thinking it was therefore something new, I viewed the two YouTube videos he had uploaded, and I commented on them.  But, then I had the feeling it was all stuff I'd seen before.  So, I checked and found that I'd viewed it all and debunked it all in my December 2, 2010 comment and in later comments.  So, I had to go back and modify my response to "Anonymous."  And, "Anonymous" has wasted my time once again.

But, the review of old material also showed me how my new book thoroughly debunks everything Mr. Kemp claimed about Ivins' innocence during that seminar.    


May 8, 2012 - There's something else I'll be looking for in Bruce Ivins' emails when they appear on vault.fbi.gov.  I'll be looking for any indication that Ivins watched the movie "The Cell" during the weeks prior to 9/11.  Right now, I only have a question: Did Bruce Ivins also send "The J-Lo Letter"?  I have few indications (a.k.a. "facts") that he did, but those indications are very tenuous.  However, if Ivins watched "The Cell" during that time frame, it would no longer be just a question, it would become a working hypothesis.  And I would have to go back an modify some comments in my book.

On my interactive blog yesterday, "Anonymous" brought to my attention a question about the other subject I'll be looking for in Ivins' emails: What did Ivins plan to do with the ammonium nitrate bomb he was making in January 2000?  David Willman's book "The Mirage Man" seems to make it clear on page 50 that Ivins mentioned the bomb plan to his psychiatrist Dr. David Irwin in February of 2000.  But a newspaper article by Willman suggests that Ivins may also have mentioned the bomb plan to one of his mental health counselors in July 2000.  And, any mention of that counselor sends "Anonymous" into ranting hysterics.  (He posted 11 messages about it last night and this morning, and he sent me an email.)  I currently have a working hypothesis about the purpose of that bomb.  But, some kind of confirmation would be nice. 

Meanwhile, a relative sent me a YouTube video titled "What happens when you ask a Boeing engineer to fix your lawnmower."   It's totally off subject, unless you tie it into what appears to be "Anonymous's" latest worry, that Muslim terrorists might use ultra-light drone aircraft to disperse anthrax spores on American cities.

May 6, 2012 (B) - Uh oh.  The Sept. 17, 2001 email I mentioned in Saturday's comment was continuing to bug me, and I wondered what I'd written about it in my book.   So, I looked for a mention of it and found it on page 80, where I said it was an email sent to Mara Linscott.  And I quoted part of the email with a recently added footnote to the source.  The source was page 46 of the FBI/DOJ Summary Report which says:

By the summer of 2001, his depression had increased. In fact, his prescription for the anti-depressant Celexa was doubled shortly before the mailings. The increasingly intractable troubles with the anthrax vaccine projects were compounded by the loss he felt with the absence of this former colleague[#1], who, as is clear from the above e-mails, was an integral part of his mental well being. When she was responsive to his e-mails, he felt better; when she was distant, he felt worse.30 As he noted to her in an e-mail on September 17, 2001 – the day the first letters were mailed – “I haven’t been feeling so good lately because of all that’s going on. I really can’t talk to [my wife], and I don’t say that much to [Former Colleague #2] or anyone else. The group I’m in is only moderately helpful. I’m glad some of us are going to Covance tomorrow with some vaccine. It will be good to get away. I wish I had someone here that I could really open up to at times like this.”

So, the Summary report says the email was to Mara Linscott.  And, as a result, so does my own book.

But, that was based upon the source and the small quotes from the email.  When looking at the entire email, the content appears very different.  Why?

Evidently, I'd pictured the relationship between Ivins and Mara very differently.  I'd been thinking of that relationship as being similar to Ivins' largely one-sided relationship with Nancy Haigwood.  Yet, in the parts of the email not shown in the Summary Report, Ivins writes to Mara like he's writing to a daughter or a child.  Why would he write about the "neat things" Mara was "getting into" in her third year of medical school?  Why would Ivins offer to send melatonin to a third year medical student?  I can imagine that Mara may have been in Europe or somewhere distant while on vacation over the summer, and she was having a hard time adjusting to the time difference now that she was back at the University of Buffalo, but I wouldn't have expected that she would write to Bruce Ivins to tell him about it.  My previous impression was that Ivins was doing nearly all the writing, and Mara was just responding perfunctorily as Nancy Haigwood did.  Now I'm seeing much more of a two-way relationship, with Mara looking upon Ivins as somewhat of a father figure.  That probably explains why Mara seems to have defended Ivins after his suicide.  And, it may explain why Diane Ivins tolerated the relationship for so long.  (The email even implies that Mara visited with both Bruce and Diane at their home.)

The Summary Report has this footnote on the bottom of page 46:

30 Over the course of her first few years after she left USAMRIID, Former Colleague #1 was inundated with e-mails from Dr. Ivins, literally hundreds and hundreds of them, many of extraordinary length and detail. As she stated in numerous interviews, she frequently did not reply to those e-mails for days, and when she did it was often in a cursory fashion.

That's probably where I got the wrong impression from.  There was nothing "cursory" about the email that resulted in Ivins' September 17 response.

None of this makes any difference to the case.  And it doesn't change a word in my book. But it definitely gives me a different view of Ivins' "obsession" with Mara.  And, I'm going to be looking for more about that "obsession" when the FBI releases those new emails.  I like to understand things, even if they aren't critically important.  And I want to learn and understand more about the Bruce Ivins-Mara Linscott relationship.    


May 6, 2012 (A) -
Hmmm.  Last week was another very interesting week.   Last Sunday I wrote about an email I'd received from an Anthrax Truther who believed the same person who wrote the anthrax letters in 2001 also wrote letters associated with the Chicago Lipstick murders and the Black Dahlia case in the 1940's.  Then on Friday I spotted a press release about a book written by another Anthrax Truther who evidently believes the anthrax letters are connected to the New Hampshire State Lottery.

Both theories were new to me.  Over the years, I've heard from dozens of Anthrax Truthers who are absolutely certain they know who sent the anthrax letters.  As far as I can tell, every one of the Truthers still firmly believes his or her theory.

Those two new theories make me wonder how many other unique theories there are out there that I don't know about.  There's got to be thousands! 

How many people who are not Internet savvy have unique theories they can't tell to the entire world?  I recall getting a couple emails years ago from a woman who wanted me to talk with her father because her father had a theory about the case, and he wouldn't shut up about it.  Her father wasn't computer savvy, so the woman wanted me to telephone him to ask him about his theory.  I told her I was sorry, but I refused.  What good could I do?  It doesn't appear that anyone can talk Anthrax Truthers out of what they so firmly believe.  Every time I try, they just tell me I'm close-minded because I refuse to accept the facts as they view the facts. 

There's one Anthrax Truther with whom I've been arguing for over 10 years.  We're still arguing on my interactive blog where he posts as "Anonymous."  He differs from all the others in that he is a True Believer who is aggressively out to convert the world to his beliefs.  He doesn't merely believe the FBI is wrong about who sent the letters, he seems to believe we could all be doomed if we don't believe what he believes.

Here's what he says when he posts as "DXer" on Lew Weinstein's web site:

Amerithrax represents the greatest failure in intelligence analysis in United States history.

And why is Amerithrax America's "greatest intelligence failure"?  He explains:

Amerithrax, not 911, represents the greatest intelligence failure in the United States — because the greatest failure is the one that is ongoing.

He has made similar statements over and over and over as if he's chanting some kind of mantra.  And he explains what his main concern is:

And having failed to solve Amerithrax, I am expecting DC and NYC to be attacked in a mass anthrax attack.

He evidently believes that any future attack would be proof that Muslims were behind the anthrax attacks of 2001, even if it's another ten years after the anthrax attacks and there's still no provable connection.  And he's evidently the only person on the planet who can see the "truth."  All he needs are the right documents to prove it - even though on my blog he says he has 9,000 pages of documents that I haven't seen, but which evidently prove nothing, since he still wants more:

I think that if there is an attack, those responsible for the botched intelligence analysis will be easy to trace if they continue to withhold documents and continue to fail to correct their mistakes.

And here's another statement about his concerns:

In the case of Amerithrax, only the proactive steps taken on the FBI’s own initiative will ever serve to set things back on track. If the FBI does not know the bad guys are still out there, then the country is at grave peril.

It's a very bizarre belief, since he seems to think that, because the FBI proved that the anthrax letters were sent by Bruce Ivins, that means that no one in the government is trying to prevent a new bioweapons attack from Muslim terrorists.  He seems to be saying, if we couldn't prevent a first bioweapons attack from Muslim terrorists, then we are incapable of preventing a second attack.  And it doesn't make any difference how many government agents are actually working every day to prevent such an attack.

On the other hand, "Anonymous" is doing some helpful things.  He announced a couple days ago that, as a result of a Freedom Of Information Act request sent to the FBI, the Bureau is going to be releasing a new bunch of Bruce Ivins' emails.  It's difficult to tell exactly what was specifically requested or who made the request, but we're apparently going to get those emails "within a database of other emails by Bruce Ivins."  The emails will supposedly be made available on vault.fbi.gov sometime in the near future.   However, since all names of individuals in the emails will almost certainly be redacted, that means we won't be able to tell which emails were to Mara Linscott or anyone else.

But, we might be able to figure it out.

As I noted in yesterday's comment about the Sept. 17, 2001 email, Ivins probably doesn't write the same way and say the same things to multiple people in his personal emails.   So, by analyzing tone and subject matter, we should be able to separate emails sent to Mara Linscott from emails sent to family members and friends and relatives in Ohio with some degree of accuracy.

But, more importantly for me, the emails might help solve some mysteries

The biggest mystery the emails might help solve is what Ivins was planning to do with the ammonium nitrate bomb he was thinking about making in January 2000.  What was on his mind at that time when he first started seeing Dr. David Irwin, evidently because of his concerns about that bomb plan?  His emails from that time might enable me to figure it out with greater certainty.  For my book, I've already determined the most likely reason for making the bomb, but my reasoning was based upon very few very tenuous facts.  I would like to have a lot more facts.  But, I also think that if the emails had any information related to Ivins' plans for the bomb - no matter how vague - someone in the FBI or the Expert Behavioral Analysis Panel would have mentioned it.

It never occurred to me to ask the FBI for Ivins' emails from that period of time.  (And I'll have to wait and see if Ivins' emails from that time will be part of what is going to be released).  So, I'm glad someone asked for those emails.  The more information we have the better, even if it also means there's more information that "Anonymous" will try to distort or ignore in order to retain his beliefs.

It also makes me think there are some other pieces of information I should ask for.  Long ago I asked for a photo of the back of one or more of the anthrax envelopes to see how they were taped shut.  But, that was before the case was closed, and they wouldn't release such information related to an open case.  Since then, I found a photo of one of the taped envelopes on page 117 of the "Auxiliary Documents" on the NAS CD.  But, it's a very lousy Xerox-type copy, and I'd like to see a better picture.  There's also an FBI photo I've seen that might make a good addition for my book if I can get a good copy.  And, there are some photos taken at USAMRIID that I'd very much like to see.  They'd make great additions to my book.  I haven't had much luck in getting information out of USAMRIID, but a formal FOIA request might work.  I'll send out one tomorrow.

The difference between what "Anonymous" and I  look for is that I look for things that will help clarify what is already known, and "Anonymous" seems to look for things that he can use to distort the facts and obfuscate with irrelevancy. 

Meanwhile, I'm currently working on Chapter 25 in the "Notes & Resources" section of my new book.  Only 23 chapters left to go.  Since the "Notes" section is currently 15 pages long, that indicates it will probably consist of between 25 and 30 pages when I'm done in about 2 weeks.   But assembling the information on those pages is a LOT of very tedious work.  I thought I'd done a good job of keeping track of my sources while writing the book, but it apparently wasn't as good as it could have been. 

The new pictures I mentioned above would just add more illustrations to my book. They won't change the text.  If the emails from Ivins contain something important, however, that's a different story.  But, it really just means I'll be making some last minute additions as I get into the final version where I do the actual "typesetting." 

And, of course, I need to avoid getting distracted too much by the endless arguments with "Anonymous."

Updates & Changes: Tuesday, May 1, 2012, thru Saturday, May 5, 2012

May 5, 2012 - I don't know if anyone else is going to be interested in this, but in an argument with "Anonymous" on my interactive blog the email Bruce Ivins sent out at 10:20 a.m. on the morning of September 17, 2001, came up.  An image of the email is HERE.  "Anonymous" has been making an issue of it because the email was not released by the government as fast as he wanted.

Here's the email in a more easily readable form:

Message 0438
Subject: RE:
From: "Ivins, Bruce E. Dr. USAMRIID" <Bruce Ivins @ [REDACTED]
Date: Mon, 17 Sep 2001 10:20:02 - 0400
To: [REDACTED]

Message Body

Dear [REDACTED]
Thanks for your letter.  It sounds as if you are getting into a lot of really neat things, but I'm sorry that you are getting so little sleep.  [REDACTED TWO FULL LINES] mood is definitely much better, although she was quite worried that I was going to have to go to war.  I assured her that I would be here, and she felt better.  I haven't been feeling so good lately because of all that's going on.  I really can't talk to [REDACTED] and I don't say much to [REDACTED] or anyone else.  The group I'm in is only moderately helpful.  I'm glad some of us are going to Covance tomorrow with some vaccine.  It will be good to get away.  I wish I had someone here that I could really open up to at times like this.

I am so pleased [REDACTED THREE FULL LINES]   I remember from high-school one kid in cross country who wasn't very tall, but he was as muscular as a weight lifter, with no fat.  I was just skinny, [REDACTED OVER THREE LINES]

I hope you get some sleep.  Maybe I should send you some melatonin to help reset your biological clock!  Take care of yourself, and don't worry about not writing.  Your days and nights are packed, I'm sure.  I sometimes wonder how [REDACTED] are doing.  I always enjoyed hearing you talk about them when you were here.

Bruce

It's been assumed that the email was to Ivins' former assistant, Mara Linscott, who at that time was in her second year the University of Buffalo's medical school. 

But would Ivins talk about "getting into a lot of really neat things" to an adult in medical school?  And would he offer to send a medical student some melatonin?  Plus, there's the talk about a high-school student, and about someone - probably Diane Ivins - being afraid that Ivins would have to "go to war" because of 9/11.

The email seems to be to someone in the family, most likely Amanda, who would have been 17 or 18 at the time.  "Anonymous" says he has the email sent to Ivins and that it was from Mara Linscott.  But, wouldn't the sender's name be redacted on the incoming email just as it was on the reply?

What difference does it make?  None.  The entire email is irrelevant to the Amerithrax case, since it was proves nothing of value.  It was sent at 10:20 in the morning from USAMRIID, and it was known from his in-out logs that Ivins was at work at that time.  "Anonymous" just made a big deal of it, because the government didn't release it years ago.  But now it seems likely they didn't release it because it was a private family email.

However, if it isn't a private family email, and if it really is an email to Mara Linscott, it would seem that Ivins is talking to Mara as if she were a young daughter and not an adult medical student with whom he was infatuated. 

And why does Ivins think the person's "biological clock" needs to be reset?  That suggests that the person had just traveled to some place in another time zone.     

Groan.  Just what I don't need: another mystery. 


May 4, 2012 - Uh oh.  An Anthrax Truther has beaten me to the market with his book about the anthrax attacks of 2001, which he calls "
The Mystery of September 11 & the State Lotteries."  The Press Release from RedLead Press says:

The author, Harry Mason, provides compelling new evidence from state lotteries that reveals an obvious and suspicious pattern. Quite astonishingly, those results show a relationship to September 11, 2001. ....

After notifying the FBI of a possible linked to domestic terrorism and the "Anthrax Letters," Harry Mason becomes the victim of stalking and exploitation. ....

It is Harry Mason’s patriotism and strong moral beliefs that impel him to seek justice; not for him alone, but for all the innocent people who were victims of these attacks. It is his intention to bring this story to the forefront and to initiate a formal investigation.

The paperback book is 86 pages in length
, and it's print-on-demand, which means if you order it, the publisher will print a copy and send it to you.

It's stunning news.  Nevertheless, I plan to continue with my plans for my own book. smiley face


May 2, 2012 - The "McCormick code" doesn't have anything to do with the anthrax attacks of 2001, but I mentioned it in a comment in April 2011.  So, people doing Google searches continue to find my web page on the subject.  An email I received this morning included a link to a web site where the author claims to have decoded the message.  It's too far out of my areas of expertise to even give an opinion.  But, it's interesting to see how such things can intrigue others and cause them to spend endless hours on it.  And, unlike any other time in history, they now have a way to share their findings with the world -- whether their findings are right, wrong or incomprehensible.

May 1, 2012 (B) - This is off-topic in that it isn't about the investigating the anthrax attacks of 2001, but it is about investigating other "matters" (pun intended).  Click HERE to go to NASA's web site where you can watch a terrific animated cartoon in which the search for the Higgs boson is very nicely explained. 

May 1, 2012 (A) -
I've chalked off the latest Russian Mystery regarding my web site logs as just another one of those mysteries that I don't have the time to solve.  Maybe it's Russian spy masters communicating with their spies in other countries using a "book cipher" involving pages from my web site instead of an actual book.  Or maybe not.  I just don't have the time or interest to figure it out.

Meanwhile, on my interactive blog, "Anonymous" has been posting endlessly.  For example, yesterday evening he posted a link to a handwriting sample from Nawaf Al Hazmi, one of the 9/11 hijackers who crashed American Airlines Flight 77 into the Pentagon.  Here's the sample:
Handwriting sample from Al Hazmi   
And then "Anonymous" wrote:

I'll scan and send out exemplars with examples of "R" which you suggest is especially noteworthy and get it to you when it is uploaded. More importantly, I'll send them to qualified handwriting experts.

Evidently, since the original is upside down, "Anonymous" failed to notice that there is and example of an R in the above image.  It's in the word "ArABiA."  Clearly that "r" doesn't match the R's in the anthrax letters.  Nor does the very distinctive way Al Hazmi wrote the number 9.  Nor does the way he drew the number 1.   It doesn't take an expert to see that Al Hazmi's handwriting doesn't match the anthrax writing, but I doubt that "Anonymous" will accept my analysis or any analysis that doesn't confirm his beliefs. 

"Anonymous" seems determined to turn my interactive blog into a version of Lew Weinstein's blog where as "DXer" he endlessly posts materials irrelevant to the anthrax case.  And, when I stop letting his meaningless posts go through, he'll probably complain that I am preventing "the truth" from being seen.   But, c'est la vie.

Updates & Changes: Sunday, April 29, 2012, thru Monday, April 30, 2012

April 29, 2012 -
Wow!  Last week was very interesting, the most interesting week I've had in a long time.

I've been working on the "Notes & Resources" section of my new book, but I keep getting interrupted.  For some reason "Anonymous" (a.k.a. "DXer" from Lew Weinstein's site) has been posting messages to my interactive blog all week challenging my credentials for writing a book about the case. 
He also sent me emails saying the same thing.   It appears that he views my book as some kind of threat to his fantasy world.  Or maybe he's tired of posting questions to Lew's site and getting no responses.  Or maybe he just doesn't have anything better to do.

The main argument from "Anonymous" seems to be that I don't do research.  I found that to be absolutely hilarious, since I'm currently so busy adding tiny footnote numbers to the text of my book and then adding an entry in the "Notes" section describing where that information came from.  And, I have to re-check the research sources to make sure everything is correct.  Sometimes it seems that all I've been doing for the past ten years is research and analyzing the results of that research.

But, the claim that I don't do research is not Anonymous's real argument.  That's just the smokescreen he uses to hide his main argument.  If you look at what he writes, the essence of his argument is that I don't read what he reads, and therefore his knowledge of the case is superior to mine.  And that means he's right and I'm wrong.

Yet, he cannot explain anything.   As I point out in the arguments on the blog, he endlessly posts irrelevant information to Lew Weinstein's web site and he SUGGESTS or CLAIMS that the irrelevant information somehow means something in support of his beliefs.  But, he cannot explain HOW the irrelevant information means anything.  It appears that he wants others to try to prove the negative, to prove that the information is NOT relevant.  If they cannot prove that it is NOT relevant, then it IS relevant, and that means he is right about everything.  That's standard True Believer reasoning.

For MONTHS he's been arguing that the fact that Ivins was doing some experiments with rabbits during normal work hours in 2001 means Ivins had reason to be working long evening hours in his lab at night and on weekends before the anthrax letters were mailed.  But, he cannot explain how it means anything.  The work with rabbits was part of Ivins' normal work.  So, how does Ivins' normal work account for his abnormal hours in his lab during those evenings and weekends?  "Anonymous" doesn't even attempt to explain.  And if Ivins couldn't explain those unusual hours, how can they have been normal work?  Again, "Anonymous" evidently wants others to attempt to prove the negative, to prove that Ivins was NOT doing normal work during those abnormal hours.  And, if they cannot prove the negative, then "Anonymous" is right about everything.  

While all this was going on, someone in Spain who has never contacted me before  posted a message to my interactive blog presenting his theory about "The Mysterious Rick McCormick Code" that I mentioned on this web site in April 2011.   Unfortunately, that subject was so far from my current focus of attention that I had to tell him I just didn't have the time to try to figure out what he was talking about.

And, via an email, someone else who has never contacted me before sent me his theory about the handwriting on the anthrax letters and envelopes:

the same person wrote not only the Anthrax letters but the 1946 Chicago Lipstick killer writings, the 1947 Black Dahlia documents, the 1960's-90's California based Zodiac killer documents, I45 killings, Texarkana and the 1996 JonBenet Ramsey ransom note (3 pages). I'm not the only person that will tell you this.
 
His theory seems to be based entirely upon some kind of "clue" he sees when matching individual characters in the alphabet from documents in those cases to the anthrax letters and envelopes.  I advised him that that's not how handwriting analysis is done, but I doubt he'll ever accept that answer, since he's persisting with follow-up emails.

In an email this morning, he wrote:

You are making a leap in logic by saying Ivans wasn't around in 1947.  Had there been enough true evidence against Ivans he would have been charged very early in the investigation of him and that's a fact. Your own site states that there was a overall lack of security at the facilities mentioned. Another fact is that anthrax is found in nature which means that anyone that would know what to look for can find it. I remember and old episode of the 60's TV show called Rawhide where it seems to me they could recognized the presence of anthrax on plants on the ground that the cattle could eat, that show came out a long time ago too. Yes and I am aware that there are different strains of anthrax, it's also likely that the actual source was from one of those facilities.

I'd told him that "The person who wrote the anthrax letters wasn't even alive in 1947."  He just assumed I was talking about Bruce Ivins, who was born on April 22, 1946.  Ivins would have been 1 year old in 1947.  Two of the three Chicago Lipstick murders took place in 1945 and the third murder occurred in January 1946.


Fortunately, he also told me there was no need for me to respond further:

Maybe one of these days you'll get off your high horse and get head out of your tail and realize that what I've been saying it true.

I've handed out written summary reports with images on this matter and everyone that has taken the time to look has been amazed, and I don't just offer it to the average idiot.

Don't bother to reply because yer just pissing me off anyway.

And someone else sent me an email about how Ex-CIA Chief Jose Rodriguez will be on "60 Minutes" today defending the use of waterboarding and other tortures to get information from terrorists.  And, of course, Rodriguez has written a book saying the same thing.  I don't want to get into any debates over whether or not there can ever be a circumstance where waterboarding would produce life-saving information not obtainable in any other way, but I certainly agree that waterboarding and torture should be strictly forbidden.  Any suggestion that it can be okay would authorize people who use it whenever they want.  And, as we've seen in the Secret Service scandal and in so many other things happening every day, even in the most respected and professional group of people there are still a few idiots who don't have the brains they were born with.

And, of course, while this was going on I also received the automated letter and the rejection letter in response to my two latest query letters to literary agents.   And, I've still received no responses from the large agencies I queried on April 11 and 17.

The interactive blog discussion with "Anonymous" briefly got into the topic of my book and included a response from me where I explained to him that I'm not interested in converting the world to my beliefs the way he is.  The purpose for writing my new book isn't to convert people, it's to wrap up ten years of work.  The case is over.  I want to move on to other things.  But, before doing that I need to put all my findings in writing and make it available to anyone who wants to read it.  And, I want to put two copies into the Library of Congress as a permanent record.  (That is done as part of the copyrighting process when you publish a book.) 

I plan to self-publish only about 300 copies of the book (the largest quantity I can haul around in my car without renting a truck).  I'll give copies to friends and relatives, and I'll try to sell the rest via Barnes & Noble's web site, possibly also via Amazon.com.   I'll also sell it as an e-book via Kindle on Amazon.com.  Beyond that, I have no plans.

If the book sells well, I'll have more printed.  If a regular publisher wants to publish it first, that would certainly be totally acceptable and a very nice surprise.  But, I have no way to plan for that to happen.  It's not up to me.

I don't currently have any plans to do any advertising except via this web site and my interactive blog.  That virually guarantees that the sales will be in the low hundreds, not in the high thousands.  But, I'm open to suggestions and ideas about advertising if the methods don't cost more than what sales from the book would bring in.  That's why I'm looking for a literary agent.  There are areas where I won't go by myself.

With all this going on, is it any wonder that after more than a week I'm only on Chapter 13 in the "Notes & References" section of my book?  Just 35 more chapters to go before I start "typesetting" the final version.        

Updates & Changes: Sunday, April 22, 2012, thru Saturday, April 28, 2012

April 26, 2012 (B) - When I returned home from my health club workout this afternoon, I found the literary agency to which I'd sent my first query email yesterday had responded negatively.  The agent wrote, "
my decision is based on my present work-load, and also based on the kind of material that I'm presently representing.  That said, this is a crazily subjective business: I absolutely think you should keep looking for representation because what works for one agent (or publisher) may not work as well for another."

It somewhat fits with what I wrote on April 15 when I said that negative responses come back almost immediately.  But, the fact that I haven't gotten a response from two others sent out some time ago doesn't mean that they will be sending positive responses.  It's still possible that they simply do not respond if they're not interested.

April 26, 2012 (A) - This morning I found an automated reply to the second of two query emails I sent out yesterday.  The reply said that, due the large number of queries they receive, they won't respond further unless they decide they want more information about the book.  And they said, "we encourage you to query widely."

Since the response was automated and doesn't really say anything about my book, it doesn't change the average response time.   But it seems to say that I should be sending out a lot more query letters.  Maybe.  But, I prefer to wait until I see what the results are from the other three agencies I queried before I "query widely."

April 25, 2012 - I sent out two more email query letters to literary agencies today.  Those will probably be the last for awhile.  

Also - totally off topic - for a long time I wondered why so many people were reportedly hooked on the PBS series "Downton Abby," but I didn't want to start watching a "soap opera" that has been running for two years.  Then yesterday, I saw Season 1 was for rent on RedBox.  I had a code for a free rental, so I rented it.  I ended up watching about 4½ hours of the 6+ hours last night, and the rest before lunch today.  Yes, it is definitely addictive.  And, although it might be described as a "soap opera," it's not a soap opera like "Mad Men."  Whatever the difference is, it's a big difference for me.


April 23, 2012 - I've been trying to avoid mentioning the screwball, irrelevant babble being posted to Lew Weinstein's web site, since mentioning it only gives them publicity and sends them more visitors.  Mostly they just post irrelevant questions which no one ever bothers to answer.  But, I think I should mention the latest posting.  It's titled:


Heat shocking as a substitute for Renografin in purification?!?  Heat shocking doesn't have anything to do with purification, and it has nothing to do with the 2001 mailings.  Heat shocking is a laboratory technique used to get a collection of spores ready to germinate.   A little research would have shown that.

In February of 2009, I asked a microbiologist what heat shocking was all about, then I realized I should have researched it first.  I sent this second email to the microbiologist:

I could just have Googled "heat shocked" to find out what it means, instead of asking you.  I gather it's just a technique to "wake up" the spore and get it ready for germination.

And the microbiologist responded:

Correct, although it’s actually not necessary with most strains, but it’s done anyway. It’s been known for a long time that some Bacillus spores can be recovered better with heat shocking. But in some recent work with Bacillus cereus group strains (including anthracis), it was shown that you actually get lower recoveries with heat shocking. Another reason spores are heat treated before culture is to kill vegetative cells. This ensures that whatever growth you see originated from spores

So, heat shocking is done immediatly prior to the time when the spores will start to germinate into living bacteria - either in a test animal or on a Petri dish in an incubator.  The effects of heat shocking would be long gone if heat-shocked spores were put into letters that are then sent through the mails. 

At USAMRIID, they did heat shock spores in building 1412 prior to intramuscular and aerosol challenges.  The post to Lew Weinstein's site shows a comment made by Ivins about heat shocking in an FBI document from 2004 which says on pages 11 and 12:

            IVINS described heat shocking of spores.  He explained that
  it was an activating mechanism used to synhronize spores prior to
  germination.  IVINS first became aware of heat shocking back in the
  Gulf War.  The Division Chief called IVINS in his office to discuss a
  large NHP study.  The Division Chief did not want the spores
  Renograffin purified because that was not done in the old days.
  Spores used to be heat shocked at XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
  This temperature was chosen because counts do not decrease at this
  temperature and refractile spores are not killed.  Spores that are used
  for intramuscular (IM) or aerosol challenges are heat shocked.  All
  spores are heat shocked in building 1412.  IVINS did not know if
  anyone has studied virulence with respect to heat shock.  However,
  XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX did some studies on heat
  shocked material versus non-heat shocked material.

While heat shocking and Renografin are both mentioned in that paragraph, that doesn't mean Renografin has anything to do with heat shocking.  Nor does it mean that heat shocking has anything to do with purification.  The paragraph appears to say that the Division Chief wanted the spores purified in some other way - probably by repeated centrifuging and washings with distilled water - instead of with Renografin.   It's just a badly worded report about several different subjects.  It's not a report linking heat shocking to purification.

My point is, I guess, to show that asking irrelevant questions that no one answers is a waste of time.   It's infinitely better to ask meaningful questions of people who can provide answers.   Even True Believers should be able to understand that.

April 22, 2012 -
I mentioned in my comment on Friday that, after 15 days, I received a polite but negative response to my first email query to a literary agent.  The agent said the subject matter of my new book just isn't his cup of tea. 

It would have been nice to get a positive response to my first query, even though that first query was not well written and didn't even include the chapter summaries.  But, the turn-down still felt more positive than negative to me.  It told me that agents still do respond to email queries - even badly written queries.  It set an "average" response time at 15 days, so I shouldn't be too worried about the other two, better-written queries I sent out after that first one.  I sent one on the 11th, and another on the 17th.    

I plan to send out one or two more queries during this coming week.  At the same time, I'm wondering if it's such a good idea to write about the book-selling process on this web site.  On one hand, there isn't much else happening related to the anthrax attacks of 2001 that is also worth writing about.  On the other hand, I have no idea what an agent would think if he were to read these comments about the selling process.  I don't have any solid reason to believe he'd have a negative reaction, and he could have a positive reaction, since the "typical author" supposedly sends out dozens queries for a book that is nothing more than a rough idea, and he hopes that someone else will help him write it, and he expects the publisher to pay a substantial advance just for the privilege of publishing his planned book.

What I'm doing is somewhat untypical.  I have a completed third draft of the book, and I plan to self-publish if I can't find a publisher.  But, I'm not sure what's "typical" these days.  (Former Secretary of Labor Robert Reich was on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart last week to promote an e-book that he'd written.  It was published by Random House Digital, so Reich wasn't self-publishing.  (One of the things regular publishers do for an author is help publicize the book by getting the author on TV shows.)  Do Reich's books appeal mainly to business people who read e-books while commuting or while traveling?  The e-book sells for $2.99 on Kindle and is evidently somewhere between 5,000 and 30,000 words.  It appeared to be the first time Jon Stewart had an author on his program where there was no physical book to hold up and talk about.)

Yes, I know that there is an entire industry built around "vanity" books, where people self-publish to get their "masterpiece" before the public, expecting it to become a world-wide sensation.  But, those "authors" are a tiny fraction of the authors who think they have a "great idea" for a book they want to get published.  "Vanity publishers" get much of their money from helping such "authors" write and edit their books.  I won't be using any kind of "vanity publisher."  If I can't get a regular publisher for my book, I'll be doing the editing and typesetting myself, and I'll just use a printing company to print the book, as I did with my previous book. 

Last week, before I received the response to my first query letter, I actually started the process of typesetting.  So, there was another positive effect from the rejection.  I stopped thinking that I wasn't going to get any responses at all to my queries, and I went back to working on making the book better.       

I'm currently working on the Notes & References section of my book.  The work requires me to re-check all the source information I used.  As a result of doing that, I keep keep finding things that I didn't mention in the book.  Then I have to wonder if I should add it.  For example, on September 11, 2001, the same day the Twin Towers and the Pentagon were struck by hijacked aircraft, Bruce Ivins received a "Notification of Performance Rating."  He was rated B, with a "numerical rating" of 84. 

The facts seem to indicate that he knew for several weeks that he was going to get that B rating. 
I already mention in my book that Ivins was aware that Patricia Worsham was going to become his supervisor, even though she was younger than Ivins, had worked at USAMRIID less time, and had received her doctorate degree after Ivins. 

The problem is that I don't know what Ivins' previous performance ratings were.   Nor do I know (nor am I likely to be able to find out) what Worsham's ratings were.  
So, it's difficult to figure out what to say about the performance rating ....  other than that it almost certainly played some role in Ivins' thought processes prior to the first mailing.  He was a man with a massive ego, and he was effectively being demoted to work for a woman who had less time at USAMRIID and less experience than he had.

I might add some mention of the performance rating to the book, but I'm not sure what I can say if I can't compare it to previous ratings or to Worsham's rating. 

I also noticed this sentence from page 143 of the Expert Behavioral Analysis Report:

There is also documentation that he [Ivins] threatened to poison his college roommates if they tried to eat his food.
 
That's all it says, and it's not particularly serious or startling.  However, it fits with other comments Ivins made about his knowledge of poisons and how he knew all kinds of ways to kill people.  Therefore, no one should mess with him.

I noticed that, on page 69 of the EBAP report, it says this about the KKG burglaries:

These exploits were so important to him that, even though they were criminal in nature, he could not keep them entirely to himself. He told [Mara Linscott], who in September 2002 wrote [Patricia Fellows]: “He broke into a sorority house, while no one was there, to get the code book.”

So, in September 2002 Ivins told Mara about one or more of his burglaries?  I feel I probably should mention that.  The problem is that in September 2002 my book is totally focused on Steven Hatfill's situation.  Nothing much was happening with Ivins at that time.  Thus, there's no easy way to interrupt the narrative about Hatfill to mention this item of information about Ivins.  However, it was also in September 2002 when Ivins drove nearly 600 miles round-trip twice to where Mara Linscott was living at the time.  The first time was just to scout the location, the second time was to leave a bottle of Kahlua on her porch.  (See page 84 of the EBAP report.)   So, maybe I should mention something about Ivins telling Mara about his activities as a burglar.

This morning as I sat down at my computer, David Willman's book "The Mirage Man" was lying open to page 50 next to my keyboard.   On page 50 it mentions that Ivins had bought ammonium nitrate to build a bomb, a fact I'd used in my book, and yesterday I'd noted the page number in my Notes & References section.  But this morning I noticed the next page is all about the letter defending pedophilia that Bruce Ivins sent to the Frederick News-Post.  The letter was published on September 17, 1993.  I hadn't mentioned that letter in my book at all, even though Diane Ivins' day care center was operating at that time.  Then I suddenly realized that, as a result of research I did to try to figure out who the child was who wrote the anthrax letters, I knew the names of two children who were very likely in Diane Ivins' day care center in September
1993.  But, do I want to make that kind of suggestion in my book?  I don't think so.   

That's why adding the Notes & References section is very slow-going.  It's probably going to take me at least a couple more weeks to finish.  Then I might add a couple new pages "About the Author."  Then I'll probably work on the "Final Draft," which would be the draft where I do the "typesetting" and put everything into book printer-ready format, complete with justification and hyphenation.  And, when I'm done with the main part of the "Final Draft," I'll have to construct the Index.  By then I'll also be checking on which printing company to use.

So, there's still plenty of time to send queries and get responses from agents.  And, I haven't even thought about sending query/proposal packets directly to publishers.  I may do that, too.  It all depends upon what the agents say.  First things first.

All prior Thoughts and Comments are also available.
Click HERE for year 2012 - Part 2
Click HERE for year 2012 - Part 1.
Click HERE for year 2011 - Part 3.
Click HERE for year 2011 - Part 2.
Click HERE for year 2011 - Part 1.
Click HERE for year 2010 - Part 2.
Click HERE for year 2010 - Part 1.
Click HERE for year 2009 - Part 2.
Click HERE for year 2009 - Part 1.
Click HERE for year 2008.

Click HERE for year 2007.
Click HERE for year 2006.
Click HERE for year 2005.
Click HERE for year 2004.
Click HERE for years 2001, 2002 and 2003.

References:

The FBI's summary report of the Amerithrax case
The revised version of the FBI' summary report of the Amerithrax case
Search warrants and attachments to the Summary report from the DOJ's web site
The 2,720 pages of supplementary files for the Amerithrax case in the FBI's "vault"
Dr. Bruce Ivins' emails while at Ft. Detrick from USAMRIID's web site
NAS "Review of the Scientific Approaches Used During the FBI's Investigation of the Anthrax Attacks of 2001"
HistoryCommons.org - Timeline of the 2001 Anthrax Attacks

Edited version of the Hatfill v Ashcroft et al lawsuit Court Docket
Edited version of the Hatfill v Foster/Vanity Fair/Readers Digest Court Docket
Edited version of the Hatfill v The New York Times Court Docket
Edited version of the Maureen Stevens vs The United States lawsuit Court Docket
Edited version of the Maureen Stevens vs Battelle Memorial, et al lawsuit Court Docket
UCLA's "Disease Detectives" site about the anthrax outbreak of 2001
Frederick Police Department's report on Ivins' Suicide
Report of the Expert Behavioral Analysis Panel

Click HERE to view references from 2005 through 2008.
Click HERE to view pre-2005 references.

NOTE: The (X) following references below includes a link to my copy of the articles, which may or may not be visible on-line.

2009

The New York Times - Jan. 3, 2009 - "Portrait Emerges of Anthrax Suspect’s Troubled Life - (X)
Scientific American - Jan. 5, 2009 - "A steady stream of clues pointed to Ivins during FBI anthrax investigation" (X)
CNN - Jan. 6, 2009 - "'Let me sleep,' anthrax suspect wrote before suicide" (X)
Associated Press - Jan. 6, 2009 - "Records reveal anguish of anthrax suspect's wife" (X)
The Frederick News-Post - Jan. 23, 2009 - "
Army releases some Ivins e-mails" (X)
The New York Times - Feb. 4, 2009 - "Science Found Wanting in Nation's Crime Labs" (X)
Science Magazine - Feb. 7, 2009 - "
U.S. Army Lab Freezes Research on Dangerous Pathogens" (X)
The New York Times - Feb. 9, 2009 - "Army Suspends Germ Research at Maryland Lab" (X)
The Baltimore Sun - Feb. 10, 2009 - "Biodefense lab starts inventory of deadly samples" (X)
WTOP.com - Feb. 10, 2009 - "Lawer: Evidence against Bruce Ivins 'Undercut'" (X)
The Washington Post - Feb. 10, 2009 - "Most Research Suspended at Fort Detrick" (X)
Scientific American - Feb. 10, 2009 - "Army anthrax lab suspends research to invertory its germs" (X)
Nature - Feb. 25, 2009 - "Anthrax investigation still yielding findings" (X)
New Scientist - Feb. 27, 2009 - "Revealed: Scientific evidence for the 2001 anthrax attacks" (X)
Rush Holt - Mar. 3, 2009 - "Holt Introduces Anthrax Commission Legislation" (X)
MyCentralJersey.com - Mar. 3, 2009 - "Holt seeks congressional anthrax commission" (X)
FBI Press Release - Mar. 6, 2009 - "FBI responds to Science issues in Anthrax case" (X)
FoxNews.com - Mar. 7, 2009 - "FBI's Evidence in Anthrax Case Leaves Puzzling Scientific Questions" (X)

Associated Press - Mar. 7, 2009 - "Ruling lets anthrax suit go forward" (X)
Los Angeles Times - Mar. 8, 2009 - "Anthrax hoaxes pile up, as does their cost" (X)
USA Today - Mar. 10, 2009 - "15,300 government workers have access to agents of bioterror" (X)
The Times of Trenton (Opinion by Rush Holt) - Mar. 12, 2009 - "Preventing Bioterrorism" (X)
New Scientist - Mar. 13, 2009 - "Columbus innocent over anthrax in the Americas" (X)
USA Today - Mar. 14, 2009 - "Tracing anthrax's American roots" (X)
Associated Press - Mar. 24, 2009 - "Letters mimicking anthrax scare sent to Congress" (X)
Associated Press - Mar. 31, 2009 - "Judge dismisses lawsuit over anthrax letter" (X)
The Scotsman - Apr. 4, 2009 - "Dorothy H. Crawford: World waits for ground-breaking anthrax evidence" (X)
Seed Magazine - Apr. 14, 2009 - "The Anthrax Agenda" (X)
The Palm Beach Post - Apr. 15, 2009 -
"Judge urges settlement in 'National Enquirer' anthrax case" (X)
The Frederick News-Post (Columnist/Opinion) - Apr. 22, 2009 - "Cold Comfort" (X)
The Washington Post - Apr. 22, 2009 - "Deadly Pathogens May Have Gone Missing at Fort Detrick" (X)
Sciencemag.org - May 6, 2009 - "FBI Anthrax Investigation Under Scientific Review" (X)
The New York Times - May 7, 2009 - "F.B.I. to Pay for Anthrax Inquiry Review" (X)
The Frederick News-Post (editorial) - May 14, 2009 - "End Of Story?" (X)
The Frederick News-Post (commentary by Barry Kissin) - May 24, 2009 - "The Lynching Of Bruce Ivins" (X)
Associated Press - May 28, 2009 - "Prosecutor in anthrax, Blackwater cases resigns" (X)
Frederick News-Post - June 17, 2009 - "USAMRIID finds more than 9,200 unrecorded disease samples" (X)
Associated Press - June 17, 2009 - "9,200 Uncounted Vials Found At Army Biodefense Lab" (X)
The Washington Post - June 18, 2009 - "Inventory Uncovers 9,200 More Pathogens" (X)
Frederick News-Post - July 2, 2009 - "Committee to review FBI anthrax investigation" (X)
Microbe - July 2009 - "Questions Linger over Science behind Anthrax Letters" (X)
Frederick News-Post - July 26, 2009 - "
Anthrax case: Amerithrax debate lives online" (X)
Frederick News-Post - July 26, 2009 - "Anthrax case: Seeking an Ending" (X)
Frederick News-Post - July 26, 2009 - "
Anthrax case: Studies scrutinize lab security, shy away from federal investigation" (X)
Associated Press - July 26, 2009 - "US on verge of closing anthrax probe after 8 years" (X)
The Washington Times - July 30, 2009 - "Lessons learned from the anthrax letters" (X)
Associated Press - July 30, 2009 - "Review begins of FBI science in anthrax case" (X)
Frederick News-Post - July 31, 2009 - "Group begins scientific review of FBI's anthrax investigation" (X)
Frederick News-Post (editorial) - July 31, 2009 - "Dubious study" (X)
Nature - July 31, 2009 - "Anthrax investigation probe undeway" (X)
Frederick News-Post - Aug. 1, 2009 - "Experts urge panel to deepen forensic understanding" (X)
The Washington Post - Aug. 1, 2009 - "Lawmaker 'Skeptical' of Anthrax Results" (X)
USA Today - Aug. 3, 2009 - "Anthrax case not closed: Panel reviews Bruce Ivins, mail probe" (X)
Frederick News-Post (Opinion) - Aug. 12, 2009 - "A Shocking Mockery" (X)
Frederick News-Post - Aug. 13, 2009 - "Fort Detrick passes national accreditation" (X)
Frederick News-Post - Sept. 25, 2009 - "Panel continues study of anthrax mailings" (X)
Frederick News-Post - Sept. 26, 2009 - "Expert: Anthrax spore coatings not unique" (X)
USA Today - Oct. 5, 2009 - "Behind the scenes, system sniffs for biological attacks" (X)
BBC - Dec. 17, 2009 - "Anthrax found in dead heroin user from Glasgow" (X)
The Wall Street Journal - Dec. 19, 2009 - "A Conspiracy-Theory Theory" (X)
Newsweek - Dec. 21, 2009 - "Red Mind, Blue Mind" (X)
Digital Journal - Dec. 27, 2009 - "NH Woman Critically Ill With Anthrax" (X)
The Associated Press - Dec. 27, 2009 - "Drums a possible source of anthrax in N.H. woman" (X)
Medical News Today - Dec. 29, 2009 - "Anthrax Found in Drums Linked to Infected Woman" (X)
Associated Press - Dec. 30, 2009 - "Anthrax case: Drum suspicions are detailed" (X)

2010
Washington Examiner (Opinion) - Jan. 1, 2010 - "Who was behind the September 2001 anthrax attacks?" (X)
The Associated Press - Jan. 11, 2010 - "Fed panel wants more scrutiny of biolab workers" (X)
The Wall Street Journal (Opinion) - Jan. 24, 2010 - "The Anthrax Attacks Remain Unsolved" (X)
The Washington Examiner (Opinion) - Jan. 29, 2010 - "Anthrax attacks still unexplained" (X)
The Wall Street Journal (Letter to Editor) - Jan. 31, 2010 - "Anthrax Case: FBI Used Good Science" (X)
Frederick News-Post - Feb. 19, 2010 - "
Ivins' attorney: Anthrax case to be closed today" (X)
The Associated Press - Feb. 19, 2010 - "AP Source: FBI formally closes anthrax case" (X)
The New York Times - Feb. 19, 2010 - "F.B.I., Laying Out Evidence, Closes Anthrax Letter Case" (X)
Reuters - Feb. 19, 2010 - "Anthrax investigators looked at 1,000 suspects" (X)
USA Today - Feb. 19, 2010 - "'Ġodel, Escher, Bach' author downplays FBI anthrax case link" (X)
The Baltimore Sun - Feb. 19, 2010 - "Anthax investigation closed" (X)
The Los Angeles Times - Feb. 20, 2010 - "U.S. closes case on anthrax letters" (X)
The Washington Post - Feb. 20, 2010 - "FBI investigation of 2001 anthrax attacks concluded; U.S. releases details" (X)
The Palm Beach Post - Feb. 20, 2010 - "U.S. closes 2001 anthrax case" (X)
USA Today - Feb. 20, 2010 - "Anthrax myth persists despite evidence" (X)
The New York Times (opinion from Nov. 10, 2001) - Feb. 20, 2010 - "On the trail of the anthrax killers" (X)
The Wall Street Journal - Feb. 20, 2010 - "U.S. Closes Case in Anthrax Attacks" (X)
AntiPolygraph.org - Feb. 20, 2010 - "DOJ Rationalizes Away Polygraph's Failure to Catch Alleged Anthrax Killer" (X)
Frederick News-Post - Feb. 20, 2010 - "Government  closes 'Amerithrax' case" (X)
Frederick News-Post - Feb. 23, 2010 - "FBI report fails to end questions about Ivins' guilt" (X)
The Daily Princetonian - Feb. 24, 2010 - "FBI closes anthrax letter investigation" (X)
The New York Times - Feb. 24, 2010 (opinion) - "Haste Leaves Anthrax Case Unconcluded" (X)
Asia Times - Feb. 25, 2010 - "Doubts cloud closing of anthrax case" (X)
The Baltimore Sun - Feb. 26, 2010 -
"Bill for more investigation of '01 anthrax case passes House."  (X)
The Times of Trenton - Feb. 26, 2010 - "Holt: Last word not in on anthrax case" (X)
The New York Times (editorial) - Feb. 28, 2010 - "The F.B.I.'s Anthrax Case" (X)
The Frederick News-Post - Feb, 28, 2010 - "FBI reports chronicle Ivins investigation" (X)
TheSmokingGun.com - Mar. 1, 2010 - "The Strange World of Dr. Anthrax" (X)
FoxNews.com - Mar. 1, 2010 - "Anthrax Letter Scientist 'Obsessed' with Bondage, Sorority"  (X)
The Trentonian - Mar. 1, 2010 - "The Smoking Gun reports: Anthrax mastermind was cross-dresser" (X)
The Register (UK) - Mar. 2, 2010 - "The anthrax scare: Case and flask closed" (X)
The Frederick News-Post - Mar. 4, 2010 - "Police: Ivins not linked to other unsolved cases" (X)
The Frederick News-Post - Mar. 4, 2010 - "Holt seeks investigation into FBI's case against Ivins" (X)
Anderson Cooper 360 - Mar. 5, 2010 - "Inside the mind of the suspected anthrax killer" (X)
Courier News (opinion) - Mar. 7, 2010 - "Bioterror preparedness needs a boost from congress" (X)
AOLnews.com - Mar. 10, 2010 - "Lawer Doubts Case Against Anthrax Suspect" (X)
CNN (opinion) - Mar. 12, 2010 - "Can the House trust the Senate?" (X)
Bloomberg - Mar. 15, 2010 - "Obama Veto Is Threatened On 2010 Intelligence Budget Measure" (X)
Bloomberg - Mar. 15, 2010 - "Obama Veto Is Threatened On 2010 Intelligence Budget Bill (Update 1)" (X)
RawStory.com - Mar. 15, 2010 - "Protecting agencies from oversight, Obama threatens to veto intelligence funding" (X)
Frederick News-Post - Mar. 20, 2010 - "Adminstration rejects call to further probe Amerithrax" (X)
Pittsburgh Review-Journal (Opinion) - Mar. 21, 2010 - "Anthrax questions" (X)
Accuracy In Media - Mar. 24, 2010 - "Obama Obstructs Oversight of FBI in Anthrax Case" (X)
The Atlantic - Apr. 16, 2010 - "The Wrong Man" (X)
MSNBC - Apr. 16, 2010 - "Exonerated anthrax suspect: FBI harassed me" (X)
Foreign Policy - Apr. 19, 2010 - "The Elite Med Squad That Saved You from Anthrax" (X)
Salon.com (Glenn Greenwald) - Apr. 21, 2010 - "Unlearned lessons from the Steven Hatfill case" (X)
UPI (Opinion) - Apr. 22, 2010 - "Outside View: Anthrax Letters: Was Bruce Ivins Hounded to Death?"  (X)
The New York Times - Apr. 22, 2010 - "Colleague Disputes Case Against Anthrax Suspect" (X)
Science Magazine - Apr. 22, 2010 - "Ex-USAMRIID Scientist Defends Bruce Ivins Using Back-of-the-Envelope Math" (X)
ProPublica.org - Apr. 23, 2010 - "Colleague Says Anthrax  Numbers Add Up to Unsolved Case" (X)
PhysicsToday.org - Apr. 27, 2010 - "Co-worker says Ivins didn't make anthrax letter spores" (X)
Frederick News-Post (Opinion) - May 1, 2010 - "Anthrax attacks, cont'd" (X)
The Racine Journal-Times - June 11, 2010 - "The Armchair analyst: Ed Lake has spent nine years tracking the anthrax investigation" (X)
The Wall Street Journal (blog) - Sept. 16, 2010 - "GAO to Take Look at FBI Anthrax Probe" (X)
The New York Times - Sept. 16, 2010 - "New Review in Anthrax Inquiry" (X)
The Times of Trenton - Sept. 16, 2010 - "Holt: FBI anthrax investigation is itself subject of probe" (X)
The Frederick News-Post - Sept. 17, 2010 - "GAO to review FBI's Ivins investigation" (X)
The Washington Post - Oct. 4, 2010 - "William C. Patrick III, 84, dies (X)
The New York Times - Oct. 10, 2010 - "William C. Patrick III, Expert on Germ Warfare, Dies at 84" (X)
The Frederick News-Post (Opinion by Barry Kissin) - Oct. 16, 2010 - "In the shadow of 9/11" (X)
The Frederick News-Post -Nov. 30, 2010 - "Amerithrax experts debate FBI findings, insist Ivins was innocent" (X)
The Baltimore Sun - Dec. 5, 2010 - "Researcher tells how anthrax may have been made" (X)
The Frederick News-Post - Dec. 5, 2010 - "Ivins' lawyer, colleague share details FBI left out" (X)
Homeland Security Today - Dec. 9, 2010 - "Science Report on FBI Anthrax Probe Delayed Again" (X)
The New York Times - Dec. 9, 2010 - "F.B.I. Asks Panel to Delay Report on Anthrax Inquiry" (X)
The Miami Herald - Dec. 9, 2010 - "FBI seeks delay in outside review of anthrax probe" (X)
The Frederick News-Post - Dec. 10, 2010 - "Amerithrax review delayed after FBI releases more docs" (X)
Science Magazine - Dec. 10, 2010 - "New FBI Material Delays Academy Report on Anthrax Attacks" (X)
The Frederick News-Post - Dec. 11, 2010 - "National Academy of Science review panel surprised by FBI's last-minute document release" (X)

2011

Gazette.net - Feb. 14, 2011 - "Report on FBI's anthrax findings to be released Tuesday" (X)
The New York Times - Feb. 15, 2011 - "Review Faults F.B.I.'s Scientific Work in Anthrax Investigation" (X)
The Washington Post - Feb. 15, 2011 - "Anthrax report cast doubt on scientific evidence in FBI case against Bruce Ivins" (X)
The Los Angeles Times - Feb. 15, 2011 - "Evidence linking anthrax to Bruce Ivins 'not as definitive as stated,' panel says" (X)
CNN - Feb. 15, 2011 - "Scientific review reaches no conclusion on source of anthrax" (X)
NPR - Feb. 15, 2011 - "FBI Faulted For Overstating Science In Anthrax Case" (X)
ABC News - Feb. 15, 2011 - "Panel Review Questions FBI Theory in Anthrax Attacks after 9/11" (X)
USA Today - Feb. 15, 2011 - "Panel can't rule out other sources of deadly anthrax spores" (X)
The Washington Post - Feb. 15, 2011 - "Ivins case's inconvenient issue: his polygraph" (X)
Nature - Feb. 15, 2011 - "Science falls short in anthrax investigation" (X)
CIDRAP News - Feb. 15, 2011 - "NRC: Data insufficient for firm conclusion in anthrax case" (X)
Frederick News-Post - Feb. 16, 2011 - "Report casts doubt on FBI's investigation of anthrax attacks" (X)
Salon.com (opinion) - Feb. 16, 2011 - "Serious doubt cast in FBI's anthrax case against Bruce Ivins" (X)
New Scientist - Feb. 16, 2011 - "Scientists critical of FBI's anthrax conclusions" (X)
The Washington Post - Feb. 16, 2011 - "Sen. Leahy on anthrax case: 'It's not closed.'" (X)
CIDRAP News - Feb. 16, 2011 - "Anthrax expert says NRC report supports FBI" (X)
The Washington Post (Editorial) - Feb. 17, 2011 - "Answers in 2001 anthrax attack are still elusive" (X)
Frederick News-Post (Opinion) - Feb. 19, 2011 - "NAS on Amerithrax" (X)
Frederick News-Post - Feb. 20, 2011 - "One year after FBI closes Ivins case, doubts still linger" (X)
Frederick News-Post (Opinion) - Feb. 21, 2011 - "Flawed Science" (X)
The Boston Globe (Editorial) - Feb. 22, 2011 - "Consider the case solved" (X)
The Brown and White - Feb. 25, 2011 - "Gast heads panel discussing anthrax letters" (X)
Stanford Medicine - Feb. 25, 2011 - "New review of anthrax case discussed by review committee vice chair" (X)
The Baltimore Sun - Feb. 28, 2011 - "Trouble in the air at Ft. Detrick" (X)
The New York Times (letter to the editor from Rush Holt) - Mar. 1, 2011 - "The Anthrax Attacks" (X)
University of Maryland (press release) - Mar. 7, 2011 - "University of Maryland School of Medicine publishes scientific paper on 2001 anthrax attacks" (X)
UPI - Mar. 8, 2011 - "Science behind anthrax letters revealed" (X)
News-Medical.net - Mar. 8, 2011 - "Institute for Genome Sciences plays key role in investigation of anthrax attacks" (X)
ScienceBlog.com - Mar. 8, 2011- "Now, the story can be told - how scientists helped ID 'Amerithrax'" (X)
NPR - Mar. 9, 2011 - "Lab Vs. Courtroom: Different Definitions Of Proof" (X)
LiveScience.com - Mar. 14, 2011 - "Anthrax in 2001 Letters was Traced to Maryland by Genetic Mutations" (X)
DiamondbackOnLine.com - Mar. 17, 2011 - "UMD: Anthrax Investigation" (X)
VillageSoup.com - Mar. 18, 2011 - "Q&A: Meryl Nass" (X)
The Los Angeles Times - Mar. 22, 2011 - "Report  Faults Army in 2001 anthrax mailings" (X)
The New York Times - Mar. 23, 2011 - "Panel on Anthrax Inquiry Finds Case Against Ivins Persuasive" (X)
CNN - Mar. 23, 2011 - "Suspect in 2001 anthrax case had long history of mental problems" (X)
Associated Press - Mar. 23, 2011 - "Expert panel faults Army in anthrax case" (X)
The Miami Herald - Mar. 23, 2011 - "FBI's anthrax suspect is likely killer, panel concludes" (X)
MSNBC - Mar. 23, 2011 - "Medical records point to doctor in anthrax attacks, report says" (X)
ABC - Mar. 23, 2011 - "Report: 2001 Anthrax Attacks Were Preventable" (X)
The Washington Times - Mar. 23, 2011 - "Panel: Anthrax-attack suspect sent up red flags" (X)
Reuters - Mar. 24, 2011 - "U.S. Experts: Army researcher was anthrax attacker" (X)
Wired Magazine - Mar. 24, 2011 - "Anthrax Redux: Did the Feds Nab the Wrong Guy?" (X)
The Times (Trenton, NJ) - Mar. 25, 2011 - "Holt remains skepical about conclusions in anthrax investigation" (X)
Wired Magazine - Mar. 28, 2011 - "Postage Stamps Delivered Anthrax Suspect to FBI" (X)
The Gazette - Apr. 7, 2011 - "Joe Volz: Frederick massacre averted?" (X)
The Washington Post - Apr. 16, 2011 - "How anthrax sleuths cracked the case by decoding genetic 'fingerprints'" (X)
The Miami Herald - Apr. 20, 2011 - "Was FBI too quick to judge anthrax suspect the killer?" (X)
TheRealNews.com - Apr. 21, 2011 - "Did FBI Target Wrong Man as Anthrax Killer" (X)
ProPublica.com - April 23, 2011 - "Colleague Says Anthrax Numbers Add Up to Unsolved Case" (X)
Palm Beach Post - Apr. 30, 2011 - "Doubt of anthrax suspect's role resurfaces in lawsuit" (X)
BioPrepWatch.com - May 2, 2011 - "Attorneys contest Ivins' guilt" (X)
McClatchy Newspapers - May 19, 2011 - "FBI lab reports on anthrax attack suggest another miscue" (X)
TickleTheWire.com - May 26, 2011 - "Rep. Nadler Criticizes the FBI in Letter to Director Mueller Over Anthrax Probe" (X)
McClatchy Newspapers - May 26, 2011 - "Congressman presses FBI for anthrax information" (X)
The Los Angeles Times - May 29, 2011 - "The anthrax killings: A troubled mind" (X)
The Daily Beast - June 3, 2011 - "Anthrax Attacker Bruce Ivins' Obsessions" (X)
Associated Press - June 3, 2011 - "The anthrax scare and one deeply troubled man" (X)
The Frederick News-Post (Opinion by Barry Kissin) - June 4, 2011 - "Lessons from Amerithrax" (X)
The Frederick News-Post (Opinion) - June 6, 2011 - "A marathon, not a sprint" (X)
The Gazette - June 9, 2011 - "A treasure trove of information about Amerithrax" (X)
RealClearPolitics.com - June 9, 2011 - "Anthrax Attacks and America's Rush to Judgment" (X)
The Washington Post (Opinion) - June 10, 2011 - "Inside our own labs, the threat of another anthrax attack" (X)
The Los Angeles Times - June 12, 2011 - "Book Review: 'The Mirage Man' by David Willman" (X)
The Boston Globe (Opinion) - June 15, 2011 - "Revisiting Mueller and the anthrax case" (X)
Clinical Psychiatry News - June 21, 2011 - "Use of Psychological Profile to Infer Ivins' Guilt is Problematic" (X)
The Philadelphia Inquirer (book review) - July 17, 2011 - "Bungled pursuit of a killer" (X)
The Boston Herald - July 18, 2011 - "Justice Department lawyers contradict FBI findings in anthrax case" (X)
Salon.com - July 19, 2011 - "DOJ casts serious doubt on its own claims about the attack anthrax" (X)
Frederick News-Post - July 19, 2011 - "Justice Department filings poke holes in Ivins' case" (X)
The New York Times - July 19, 2011 - "U.S. Revises Its Response To Lawsuit On Anthrax" (X)
Associated Press - July 19, 2011 - "Justice Department corrects court filing in anthrax suit" (X)
The Washington Post - July 19, 2011 - "Justice Department corrects legal filing regarding anthrax attacks" (X)
MSNBC - July 19, 2011 -
"Government lawyers backtrack on anthrax case" (X)
Village Voice (blog) - July 19, 2011 - "Bruce Ivins Maybe Didn't Send Anthrax, Government Admits in Court Papers" (X)
The Macon Telegraph - July 19, 2011 - "Justice Department retracts court filings that undercut FBI's anthrax case" (X)
The Sacramento Bee - July 20, 2011 - "Justice Dept backtracks on anthrax claims" (X)
Wired Magazine - July 20, 2011 - "Justice Department Trips in Anthrax Case.  Again" (X)
Miami Herald - July 20, 2011 - "Justice Department waffling in anthrax case could be costly, experts say" (X)
ProPublica.org - July 20, 2011 - "Government Anthrax Flip-Flop Could Boost Victim's Lawsuit" (X)
CIDRAP news - July 20, 2011 - "DOJ defense of Army lab stirs up anthrax case controversy" (X)
The Frederick News-Post (Opinion) - July 25, 2011 - "Another Ivins twist" (X)
The New York Times - July 26, 2011 - "Suspect's Manifesto Points to Planned Anthrax Use, But Also to a Lack of Expertise" (X)
ProPublica - July 26, 2011 - "Stephen Engelberg on the FBI's Anthrax Case" (X)
Global Security Newswire - July 27, 2011 - "Norway Killer Wrote of Anthrax Attacks" (X)
Kansas City Star - July 27, 2011 - "Judge says US must show 'good cause" to revise anthrax filing" (X)
The Miami Herald - July 29, 2011 - "Judge allows feds to revise filing in anthrax case" (X)
The Washington Post (review) - Aug. 11, 2011 - David Willman's 'The Mirage Man'" (X)
WMD Junction - Aug 22, 2011 - "New Questions About the FBI's Anthrax Case" (X)
NPR (Laurie Garrett interview) - Aug. 26, 2011 - "A look back at 9/11 in 'I Heard the Sirens Scream'" (X)
National Journal - Sept. 1, 2011 - "After 9/11, Anthrax Attacks Seemed Too Natural" (X)
CIDRAP news - Sept. 1, 2011 - "Public health leaders cite lessons of 2001 anthrax attacks" (X)
The Kansas City Star - Sept. 2, 2011 - "Sen. Grassley asks Justice Department to explain contradictory acts on anthrax" (X)
Montgomery Life - Sept. 7, 2011 - "9/11 Ten Years Later" (X)
Ames.Patch.com - Sept. 8, 2011 - "Ten Years after 9/11: ISU Recalls Anthrax Scare" (X)
The Journal Gazette (Fort Wayne, IN) - Sept. 11, 2011 - "Pence: 'Remember the triumph of freedom'" (X)
Wired Magazine - Sept. 11, 2011 - "Terror and Bioterror: 9/11 to 10/4 - Part 1" (X)
Arizona Daily Sun - Sept. 12, 2011 - "NAU researcher thrust into the maelstrom" (X)
National Review - Sept. 14, 2011 - "Saddam: What We Now Know" (X)
The Guardian - Sept. 15, 2011 - "The anthrax scare: not a germ of truth" (X)
New Scientist - Sept. 15, 2011 - "Did research funding lead to anthrax attacks?" (X)
Asbury Park Press - Sept. 16, 2011 - "Another 10th Anniversary: Anthrax Attacks" (X)
The Wall Street Journal (Book Review) - Sept. 17, 2011 - "When Death Came Hand-Delivered" (X)
Wired Magazine - Sept. 18, 2011 - "Terror and Bioterror: 9/11 to 10/4 - Part 2" (X)
Wired Magazine - Sept. 25, 2011 - "Terror and Bioterror: 9/11 to 10/4 - Part 3" (X)
USA Today - Sept. 30, 2011 - "Strides in biodefense follow 2001 anthrax scare" (X)
CNN - Oct. 1, 2011 - "Strange sorority fixation was link that led to anthrax suspect" (X)
USA Today - Oct. 2, 2011 - "Al Qaeda lab lingers in anthrax story" (X)
Wired Magazine - Oct. 2, 2011 - "Terror and Bioterror: 9/11 to 10/4 - Part 4" (X)
The Daily Mail (UK) - Oct. 3, 2011 - "The laboratory crush that led the FBI to the U.S. Anthrax killer" (X)
Annals of Internal Medicine - Oct. 3, 2011 - "The Anthrax Attacks 10 Years Later" (X)
The Hartford Courant - Oct. 5, 2011 - "Anthrax Attacks Still A Mystery After 10 Years" (X)
PBS (Press Release) - Oct. 5, 2011 - "Frontline Investigates the Anthrax Mailings" (X)
University of Wyoming News - Oct. 7, 2011 - "UW Professors: Accused Anthrax Killer Couldn't Have Done It" (X)
Aberdeen News - Oct. 9, 2011 - "Ten years since Daschle received anthrax-laced letter" (X)
The Times of Trenton - Oct. 9, 2011 - "A decade on, legacy of anthrax attack lingers in Mercer County and beyond" (X)
The New York Times - Oct. 9, 2011 - "Scientists' Analysis Disputes F.B.I. Closing of Anthrax Case" (X)
The Baltimore Sun - Oct. 9, 2011 - "Frontline's 'Anthrax Files' takes hard look at FBI role in suicide of Ft. Detrick scientist" (X)
The Kansas City Star - Oct. 10, 2011 - "Fresh doubts raised on 2001 anthrax attacks" (X)
PBS Frontline - Oct. 10, 2011 - "Clair Fraser-Liggett: 'This Is Not an Airtight Case By Any Means'" (X)
PBS Frontline - Oct. 10, 2011 - "Edward Montooth: 'The Mandate Was to Look at the Case with Fresh Eyes'" (X)
PBS Frontline - Oct. 10, 2011 - "Rachel Lieber: 'The Case Against Dr. Bruce Ivins'" (X)
PBS Frontline - Oct. 10, 2011 - "Paul Keim: 'We Were Surprised It Was the Ames Strain'" (X)
The Miami Herald - Oct. 11, 2011 - "Decade-old anthrax attacks included hit to Boca Raton offices" (X)
Science Magazine - Oct. 11, 2011 - "New Challenge to FBI's Anthrax Investigation Lends an Ear to Tin" (X)
The Macon Telegraph - Oct. 11, 2011 - "Was FBI's science good enough to ID anthrax killer?" (X)
The Gazette - Oct. 12, 2011 - "Questions remain 10 years after anthrax mailings" (X)
The Miami Herald - Oct. 12, 2011 - "Newly released files cloud FBI's anthrax finding" (X)
Council on Foreign Relations (opinion by Laurie Garrett) - Oct. 12, 2011 - "The Anthrax Letters" (X)
ProPublica.com - Oct. 15, 2011 - "Despite Evidence of FBI Bungling, New Probe Into Anthrax Killings Unlikely" (X)
The Los Angeles Times - Oct. 16, 2011 - "Science in anthrax letter case comes under attack" (X)
The New York Times (editorial) - Oct. 17, 2011 - "Who Mailed the Anthrax Letters?" (X)
Fox News - Oct. 18, 2011 - "Doubts Persist About Anthrax Investigation 10 Years Later" (X)
The Daily Reveille - Oct. 20, 2011 - "Professor is worldwide anthrax specialist" (X)
The Washington Post (editorial) - Oct. 21, 2011 - "New questions about FBI anthrax inquiry deserve scrutiny" (X)
The Frederick News-Post (opinion by Barry Kissin) - Oct. 22, 2011 - "Anthrax whodunit" (X)
The Vancouver Sun - Oct. 22, 2011 - "Was this man the anthrax killer?" (X)
The New York Post - Oct. 23, 2011 - "Anthrax and the FBI" (X)
The Vancouver Sun - Oct. 24, 2011 - "The Hunt for America's anthrax killer" (X)
ProPublica.com - Oct. 24, 2011 - "Secret Reports: With Security Spotty, Many Had Access to Anthrax" (X)
The New York Times - Oct. 27, 2011 - "The Anthrax Investigation: The View From the FBI" (X)
The Palm Beach Post - Oct. 28, 2011 - "Lantana anthrax widow settles $50 million lawsuit against federal government" (X)
NPR - Oct. 29, 2011 - "Scientific Case Still Open on 2001 Anthrax Case" (X)
Associated Press - Oct. 30, 2011 - "Settlement reached in anthrax death lawsuit" (X)
Reuters - Oct. 30, 2011 - "Deal reached in U.S. 2001 anthrax death suit: filing" (X)
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists - Nov. 1, 2011 - "Amerithrax review: Lessons for future investigations" (X)
AAAS - Nov. 1, 2011 - "Ten Years After Deadly Anthrax Mailings, AAAS Event Explores Lingering Questions"  (X)
Patch.com - Nov. 21, 2011 - "The Day Terror Came to Oxford" (X)
Associated Press - Nov. 29, 2011 - "U.S. to pay widow $2.5M in 2001 anthrax death" (X)
AP & Time Magazine - Nov. 29, 2011 - U.S. to pay widow $2.5M in 2001 anthrax death" (X)
CNN - Nov, 29, 2011 - "Family of 2001 anthrax victim settles with government" (X)
Palm Beach Post - Nov. 29, 2011 - "U.S. to pay Lantana widow $2.5 million for the 2001 anthrax attack that killed her husband" (X) (X)
The Washington Post - Nov. 29, 2011 - "Federal government settles suit in fatal anthrax attacks" (X)
The New York Times - Nov. 29, 2011 - "U.S. Settles Suit Over Anthrax Attacks" (X)
ProPublica.org - Nov. 29, 2011 - "Government Settles Case Brought By First Anthrax Victim For $2.5 Million" (X)
Palm Beach Post - Nov. 30, 2011 - "Anthrax victim's wife: $2.5 million settlement brings 'a little finality'" (X)

2012

The Washington Post - Jan. 27, 2012 - "Justice Dept. takes on itself in probe of 2001 anthrax attacks" (X)
Slate Magazine - Jan. 30, 2012 - "How fake bioterrorism attacks became a real problem" (X)
Gazette.Net - Mar. 22, 2012 - "Paul Gordon: An exercise in futility"  (X)
The Cavalier Daily - Mar. 23, 2012 - "Panel reviews 2001 attacks" (X)
Frederick News-Post - Apr. 8, 2012 - "Beyond the breach: Officials take a look at security and safety a decade after anthrax scare" (X)


© 2001-2012 by Ed Lake
All Rights Reserved.